Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.612944 15.338193 17.253991 19.549238 22.237556 25.302545 29.084246
2025-10-05 12.441055 14.962392 18.003171 21.984182 27.123787 33.626416 42.624133
2025-10-12 11.203751 14.062095 17.703640 22.769490 29.774759 39.337489 53.772604
2025-10-19 9.815740 12.707417 16.542480 22.125334 30.262125 42.051684 61.145881
2025-10-26 9.178641 12.230766 16.434544 22.825889 32.630987 47.707722 73.951665
2025-11-02 8.371761 11.412058 15.726982 22.520892 33.390538 50.955240 83.479739
2025-11-09 7.676519 10.672447 15.037001 22.124662 33.898989 53.806848 92.857542
2025-11-16 7.122126 10.081256 14.496879 21.876112 34.576453 57.000021 103.533503
2025-11-23 6.564751 9.434250 13.804117 21.288511 34.571192 58.933372 112.111188
2025-11-30 6.174408 9.009159 13.415464 21.153145 35.325479 62.372649 124.671865
2025-12-07 5.671851 8.369904 12.628369 20.248389 34.544106 62.674276 130.257633
2025-12-14 5.183845 7.721199 11.776911 19.148408 33.258577 61.751710 132.729994
2025-12-21 4.827440 7.274708 11.249110 18.617321 33.088107 63.303126 142.231374
2025-12-28 4.985550 7.681121 12.193599 20.885180 38.834257 78.892437 194.207276
2026-01-04 4.872800 7.622522 12.323257 21.622973 41.526350 88.146398 232.482849
2026-01-11 4.568457 7.214446 11.797561 21.018759 41.208207 89.998655 248.495302
2026-01-18 4.469370 7.155314 11.897071 21.675784 43.818133 99.892986 295.988569
2026-01-25 4.250587 6.870100 11.556391 21.389781 44.194077 103.926657 324.486922
2026-02-01 4.038307 6.583583 11.192427 21.018133 44.312706 107.283190 352.162953
2026-02-08 3.859301 6.346732 10.906204 20.784951 44.740844 111.650750 386.504990
2026-02-15 3.655720 6.053628 10.491981 20.233516 44.291498 113.301348 409.978587
2026-02-22 3.514958 5.869032 10.277596 20.106449 44.925904 118.496758 453.378044
2026-03-01 3.303849 5.542530 9.762974 19.256833 43.538357 116.897186 462.242640